Week 11 FanDueling

For an explanation of the FanDueling series, click here.


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Before we move on to Week 11, let’s take a look at the results from Week 10:

fanduelweek10

Not a great showing last week. I finished 39th out of 50, so I didn’t win any money.

I didn’t really have any no-show players, with the exception of Owen Daniels, and I didn’t have high hopes for him anyway. They all had decent days. There just weren’t any monster days, which I could have used when some people picked Aaron Rodgers (six touchdowns) and Marshawn Lynch (four touchdowns).

Touchdowns were pretty tough to come by for my band of misfits. Justin Forsett had two and Matt Ryan had one, but DeMarco Murray and Julio Jones couldn’t score despite solid yardage totals. Antonio Brown was a huge disappointment, only getting 74 yards and losing two fumbles.

It was a weird way to lose. Just looking at yardage totals, I had a pretty decent week. Some of the other players must have known something I didn’t know, also. It seemed like my opponents’ scores were higher than usual. I wouldn’t have thought I’d finish so low in the standings with 106.76 points. I won money with a lower score before I started writing the FanDueling series.

On to Week 11! Here’s the team I’m rolling with this week:

QB – Robert Griffin III (TB@WAS) – $7,400

This is not a pick I feel particularly good about. The logic behind it is pretty similar to when I picked Matt Ryan last week: the Bucs defense isn’t very good.

RGIII didn’t look too bad in his return two weeks ago, and he’s coming off a bye. If he’s going to show he still has something, this is the week to do it. The Bucs give up the fifth most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks.

This is a super risky play. It’s been quite some time since RGIII has looked good. He’s so cheap for a reason. But the upside and value are there, and I like him better than any of the other options.

Also considered: Philip Rivers ($8,500) Teddy Bridgewater ($6,600)

RB – Mark Ingram (CIN@NO) – $8,000

The Bengals give up the fourth most points to opposing running backs. They got destroyed on the ground by the Browns last week, and they normally play better at home. They could somehow be even worse in the Superdome.

Ingram is finally “the guy” in New Orleans. He’s on an absolute tear right now, getting at least 24 carries and 100 yards in each of the last three games. Unless the Bengals suddenly wake up, he should have a big day.

RB – Jerick McKinnon (MIN@CHI) – $5,500

I still believe we are all going to bear witness to The Jerick McKinnon Game at some point. It looks like his time is running out, since Adrian Peterson could return in Week 12 (if you want him to).

Well, I say McKinnon has a little something for us today. Now’s his shot to prove he can be the man in Minnesota. The Bears defense isn’t an awesome fantasy matchup for running backs (they’ve given up the 15th most points to opposing running backs) but their actual defense has allowed more points per game than any other team in the league. This could be the game McKinnon finally makes it to the end zone. He’s also a good bargain for just $5,500.

Plus, while I don’t think the Bears have completely quit, I could be talked into it.

Also considered – Alfred Morris ($7,300), Rashad Jennings ($6,600), Shane Vereen ($6,500), Alfred Blue ($6,400), Alfred Hitchcock ($0), Alfred Pennyworth ($0),

WR – Calvin Johnson (DET@ARI) – $9,000

Calvin is back! And I’m not scared of the Cardinals’ pass defense. In the last six weeks, they’ve managed to shut down passing attacks led by Austin Davis, Brandon Weeden, and Derek Carr. They allowed the Redskins wideouts to have a decent day with Kirk Cousins as the starter, and got absolutely torched by Peyton Manning and Nick Foles.

I’m not saying Matthew Stafford is a future Hall of Famer or anything, but if that list of quarterbacks is any indication, he should have a pretty good day.

I was tempted to take Golden Tate, as he might see some opportunities with Megatron drawing a lot o attention. I decided to go with Johnson because I think we’re overdue for one of his trademark “man among boys” performances.

WR – Kelvin Benjamin (ATL@CAR) – $6,600

I don’t love Kelvin Benjamin, but I thought he was a steal at this price. The Falcons are a top ten matchup for wide receivers, and it’s becoming increasingly clear that if anyone is going to catch passes in this offense, it’s going to be Benjamin or Greg Olsen. This was more of a value pick than anything else.

WR – Jordan Matthews (PHI@GB) – $5,500

In Mark Sanchez’s first start last week, Matthews led the team in targets with nine. Since Nick Foles went down late in the first quarter against Houston, Matthews has caught three touchdowns from the Sanchize.

Jeremy Maclin is still clearly the number one guy in Philadelphia, but it sure does seem like Sanchez likes throwing to Matthews. I also think the Eagles are going to be throwing a lot in this game. This is a good bargain.

Also considered: Demariyus Thomas ($9,100), Randall Cobb ($8,700), Golden Tate ($8,300), Julio Jones ($8,200), Brandin Cooks ($6,800), Doug Baldwin ($5,800), Malcolm Floyd ($5,400)

TE – Rob Gronkowski (NE@IND) – $8,100

Gronk is a monster. The Colts have been a good matchup for tight ends this year. That’s all.

Also considered: Jimmy Graham ($7,900)

K – Nick Novak (OAK@SD) – $4,500

This is the third straight week I’ve picked the kicker going against Oakland. I haven’t been disappointed so far.

Also considered: None

D/ST – Denver Broncos (DEN@STL) – $5,200

This game scares the hell out of me. For purely illogical reasons involving Vegas conspiracies, I can’t shake the thought of something weird happening.

It all seems a little too easy. The Jaguars are the only team that gives up more fantasy points to defenses than the Rams. Yet the Broncos aren’t the most expensive defense this week, and someone dropped them in a fantasy league I’m in.

My shit detector is in overdrive. But, hey, logic says go with the Broncos, so I reckon I will.

Also considered: San Diego Chargers ($5,300)

 

TOTAL – $59,800



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